Sevilla vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 17:30
Sevilla
10 Full time
Ath Madrid
Sevilla 1–0 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 26%
Away 51%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1601 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index LLLDW v LWWWD Sevilla 0.8 · Ath Madrid 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1601 vs 1440).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLLLDW0.8 ppg
Ath MadridLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1440
Ath Madrid1601
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 25% · 55%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning5% · 35% · 60%

AI match preview

Sevilla host Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the model favors an away win with a 51% probability, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 26%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with 1.16 for Sevilla and 1.95 for Ath Madrid, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1. With a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.95

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Sevilla 1–0 Ath Madrid
Dec 2023 Ath Madrid 1–0 Sevilla