Barcelona vs Granada Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 20:00
Barcelona
33 Full time
Granada
Barcelona 3–3 Granada

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (81%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 81%
Draw 11%
Away 7%

💡 Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1597 v 1371 Barcelona rated higher
Form Index WWLWW v WLLLD Barcelona 2.4 · Granada 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Barcelona v Granada

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1371).
  • Barcelona is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barcelona
Form Index
Barcelona
Goal expectation
Barcelona
Home advantage
Barcelona

Green = favours Barcelona · Blue = favours Granada. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BarcelonaWWLWW2.4 ppg
GranadaWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Barcelona1597
Granada1371
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model75% · 16% · 9%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning96% · 4% · 0%

AI match preview

Barcelona enter this La Liga clash as strong favorites with an 81% probability to secure a home win against Granada, backed by a high confidence rating of 95/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.73 for Barcelona and 0.90 for Granada, suggesting a most likely scoreline of 2-0, with a 70% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals. While both teams scoring is slightly more than even at 56%, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.73 – 0.90

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys Barcelona, Spain Capacity 55,926 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Barcelona 3–3 Granada
Oct 2023 Granada 2–2 Barcelona