Almeria vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Mon 12 Feb, 20:00
Almeria
00 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Almeria 0–0 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (59%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 24%
Away 59%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1343 v 1599 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v WWLDW Almeria 0.2 · Ath Bilbao 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Ath Bilbao

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1599 vs 1343).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLDLLL0.2 ppg
Ath BilbaoWWLDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1343
Ath Bilbao1599
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 29% · 57%
Power Rating22% · 12% · 66%
Machine-learning1% · 25% · 74%

AI match preview

Almeria face a tough challenge at home against Athletic Bilbao, who hold a strong 59% probability of securing an away win according to the model, with a confidence level of 68.9/100. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, likely ending 0-1 in favor of the visitors, while the chances of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals remain relatively low. These projections are based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 1.54

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Almeria 0–0 Ath Bilbao
Oct 2023 Ath Bilbao 3–0 Almeria