Sociedad vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Fri 23 Feb, 20:00
Sociedad
13 Full time
Villarreal
Sociedad 1–3 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 20%
Away 17%

💡 Sociedad are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1553 v 1453 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index WDDLW v DWDDD Sociedad 1.6 · Villarreal 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1553 vs 1453).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadWDDLW1.6 ppg
VillarrealDWDDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1553
Villarreal1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 25% · 21%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning83% · 14% · 3%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad are favored to claim victory against Villarreal with a 63% probability, supported by a strong confidence rating of 74.4/100 in the model. The expected goals tally suggests a 1.94 to 1.15 edge for the home side, though the most likely scoreline remains a balanced 1-1 draw. With a 60% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this matchup promises competitive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Sociedad 1–3 Villarreal
Dec 2023 Villarreal 0–3 Sociedad