Alaves vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 24 Feb, 17:30
Alaves
11 Full time
Mallorca
Alaves 1–1 Mallorca

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 28%
Away 21%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1468 v 1442 Alaves rated higher
Form Index WWLDD v DLLWL Alaves 1.6 · Mallorca 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Mallorca

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1468 vs 1442).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesWWLDD1.6 ppg
MallorcaDLLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1468
Mallorca1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 31% · 25%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning56% · 28% · 16%

AI match preview

Alaves have a 50% chance of securing a home win against Mallorca, with the model suggesting a closely contested match given the 28% draw probability. The expected goals favor Alaves slightly at 1.34 compared to Mallorca's 0.94, but the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw, indicating a balanced encounter. With under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring in just under half the matches, fans can anticipate a competitive game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Alaves 1–1 Mallorca
Dec 2023 Mallorca 0–0 Alaves