Almeria vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 24 Feb, 20:00
Almeria
22 Full time
Ath Madrid
Almeria 2–2 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 16%
Draw 22%
Away 63%

💡 Ath Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1351 v 1601 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index LLLDD v WWDLW Almeria 0.4 · Ath Madrid 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Ath Madrid

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1601 vs 1351).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLLLDD0.4 ppg
Ath MadridWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1351
Ath Madrid1601
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model13% · 23% · 64%
Power Rating23% · 12% · 66%
Machine-learning1% · 22% · 78%

AI match preview

Almeria face a tough challenge at home against Ath Madrid, who hold a strong 63% chance of victory according to the model. With an expected goals tally favoring the visitors (0.80 vs. 2.00), a 0-2 scoreline looks the most probable outcome. While the match leans toward an away win, the 22% draw probability and balanced BTTS rate of 49% suggest some unpredictability; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 2.00

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Almeria 2–2 Ath Madrid
Dec 2023 Ath Madrid 2–1 Almeria