Sevilla vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 2 Mar, 13:00
Sevilla
32 Full time
Sociedad
Sevilla 3–2 Sociedad

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 31%
Away 39%

💡 Sociedad have a slight edge — leaning Sociedad, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1529 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index DWWDL v DDLWL Sevilla 1.6 · Sociedad 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Sociedad

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1529 vs 1454).
  • Sevilla is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sevilla
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaDWWDL1.6 ppg
SociedadDDLWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1454
Sociedad1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 30% · 49%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning16% · 30% · 54%

AI match preview

Sevilla host Real Sociedad in a La Liga clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 39% chance of victory, according to model projections. The game is expected to be tight, with an anticipated 1-1 scoreline and just under a 50% probability for both teams to score. While Sociedad are favored, the balanced odds and moderate goal expectations suggest a competitive encounter; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Sevilla 3–2 Sociedad
Nov 2023 Sociedad 2–1 Sevilla