Villarreal vs Granada Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 3 Mar, 13:00
Villarreal
51 Full time
Granada
Villarreal 5–1 Granada

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 21%
Away 20%

💡 Villarreal are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1477 v 1375 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index WDDDW v LLDDD Villarreal 1.8 · Granada 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Granada

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1477 vs 1375).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Granada. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealWDDDW1.8 ppg
GranadaLLDDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1477
Granada1375
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 24% · 24%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning78% · 16% · 6%

AI match preview

Villarreal enter this La Liga clash with a 60% probability of securing a home win against Granada, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.08 to 1.36. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested encounter with a 21% chance of a draw and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each holding around a 66-67% probability, fans can anticipate an open and competitive match. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Villarreal 5–1 Granada
Oct 2023 Granada 2–3 Villarreal