Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Mon 4 Mar, 20:00
Osasuna
10 Full time
Alaves
Osasuna 1–0 Alaves

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 30%
Away 28%

💡 Osasuna have a slight edge — leaning Osasuna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1465 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v WLDDD Osasuna 1.4 · Alaves 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1472 vs 1465).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaLLWWD1.4 ppg
AlavesWLDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1472
Alaves1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 35% · 33%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning46% · 32% · 21%

AI match preview

Osasuna and Alaves are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Osasuna at 42% to claim victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score equally, around one goal each, leading to a most likely 0-0 scoreline and a modest 41% chance that both sides find the net. With just a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals, expect a cautious encounter where defenses could dominate; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 0.99

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Osasuna 1–0 Alaves
Oct 2023 Alaves 0–2 Osasuna