Girona vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 9 Mar, 20:00
Girona
20 Full time
Osasuna
Girona 2–0 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 19%
Away 14%

💡 Girona are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1610 v 1481 Girona rated higher
Form Index DLLWL v LWWDW Girona 0.8 · Osasuna 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1610 vs 1481).
  • Osasuna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDLLWL0.8 ppg
OsasunaLWWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1610
Osasuna1481
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 20% · 16%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning81% · 17% · 2%

AI match preview

Girona hosts Osasuna in a La Liga clash where the model gives the home side a 67% chance of victory, backed by a confidence rating near 80%. Expected goals suggest Girona will net around 2.4 times to Osasuna’s 1.15, pointing toward a competitive 2-1 scoreline. With a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate an open game—but remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.41 – 1.15

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Girona 2–0 Osasuna
Nov 2023 Osasuna 2–4 Girona