Alaves vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 10 Mar, 13:00
Alaves
10 Full time
Vallecano
Alaves 1–0 Vallecano

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 30%
Away 25%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1442 Alaves rated higher
Form Index LDDDL v LLDLD Alaves 0.6 · Vallecano 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1456 vs 1442).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesLDDDL0.6 ppg
VallecanoLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1456
Vallecano1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 37% · 32%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning55% · 29% · 16%

AI match preview

Alaves host Vallecano in a tightly contested La Liga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 45%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 30% chance. Both teams are projected to score less than one goal each, making a goalless draw the most likely outcome. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (27%) and both teams scoring (37%), this match could be a cautious, defensive affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 0.90

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Alaves 1–0 Vallecano
Sept 2023 Vallecano 2–0 Alaves