Almeria vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Mon 11 Mar, 20:00
Almeria
22 Full time
Sevilla
Almeria 2–2 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 30%
Away 44%

💡 Sevilla have a slight edge — leaning Sevilla, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1350 v 1465 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index LDDDL v WWDLW Almeria 0.6 · Sevilla 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Sevilla

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Why we predict this

  • Sevilla is the stronger side on Power Rating (1465 vs 1350).
  • Sevilla is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sevilla
Form Index
Sevilla
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLDDDL0.6 ppg
SevillaWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1350
Sevilla1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 30% · 46%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning11% · 44% · 45%

AI match preview

Almeria host Sevilla in a La Liga clash where the away side holds a 44% chance of victory, though a draw at 30% remains a strong possibility. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goal tally favoring Sevilla slightly (1.01 vs. 1.47) and the most likely scoreline at 1-1. With just over half the probability for both teams to score (51%) and under 2.5 goals (55%), fans can expect a competitive match; remember these are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Almeria 2–2 Sevilla
Sept 2023 Sevilla 5–1 Almeria