Las Palmas vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 17 Mar, 15:15
Las Palmas
01 Full time
Almeria
Las Palmas 0–1 Almeria

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 20%
Away 17%

💡 Las Palmas are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1498 v 1352 Las Palmas rated higher
Form Index WLDDL v DDDLD Las Palmas 1.0 · Almeria 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Las Palmas v Almeria

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Why we predict this

  • Las Palmas is the stronger side on Power Rating (1498 vs 1352).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Las Palmas
Form Index
Las Palmas
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasWLDDL1.0 ppg
AlmeriaDDDLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1498
Almeria1352
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 25% · 14%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning88% · 10% · 1%

AI match preview

Las Palmas enter this La Liga clash with a strong 63% probability of securing a home win against Almeria, backed by a confidence rating of 74.8/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.81 for Las Palmas compared to 0.76 for Almeria, suggesting a likely 2-0 scoreline. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring hang around the mid-40s percentile, these projections remain statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.81 – 0.76

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Las Palmas 0–1 Almeria
Oct 2023 Almeria 1–2 Las Palmas