Almeria vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 30 Mar, 15:15
Almeria
03 Full time
Osasuna
Almeria 0–3 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 29%
Away 39%

💡 Osasuna have a slight edge — leaning Osasuna, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1369 v 1463 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DDLDW v WDWLL Almeria 1.2 · Osasuna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1463 vs 1369).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaDDLDW1.2 ppg
OsasunaWDWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1369
Osasuna1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 27% · 48%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning14% · 36% · 51%

AI match preview

Almeria host Osasuna in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors the visitors with a 39% chance of an away win, compared to 31% for the home side and 29% for a draw. The expected goals suggest a competitive match with Osasuna edging it 1.67 to 1.14, though the most likely score remains a 1-1 draw. With a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, this game could offer plenty of action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.67

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Almeria 0–3 Osasuna
Jan 2024 Osasuna 1–0 Almeria