Celta vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 31 Mar, 14:00
Celta
00 Full time
Vallecano
Celta 0–0 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 29%
Away 26%

💡 Celta have a slight edge — leaning Celta, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1451 Celta rated higher
Form Index LDWLW v DLDLW Celta 1.4 · Vallecano 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1452 vs 1451).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaLDWLW1.4 ppg
VallecanoDLDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1452
Vallecano1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 40% · 36%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning47% · 30% · 23%

AI match preview

Celta hosts Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 45%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with a 0-0 result being the most likely outcome, supported by a modest 19% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance both teams score. These projections highlight a tight contest, but as always, remember these are statistical forecasts—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.65 – 0.84

Most likely score

0-0

24% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 19%

Under 81%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Celta 0–0 Vallecano
Dec 2023 Vallecano 0–0 Celta