Alaves vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 31 Mar, 18:30
Alaves
01 Full time
Sociedad
Alaves 0–1 Sociedad

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 32%
Away 43%

💡 Sociedad have a slight edge — leaning Sociedad, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1457 v 1535 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index DDLWL v WLLWW Alaves 1.0 · Sociedad 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Sociedad

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1457).
  • Sociedad is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesDDLWL1.0 ppg
SociedadWLLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1457
Sociedad1535
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 31% · 46%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning17% · 42% · 41%

AI match preview

Alaves host Sociedad in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 43% chance of victory, according to the model, while a draw is slightly more probable at 32%. Expected goals suggest a moderately open game with Sociedad edging the attacking threat at 1.35 expected goals to 0.88, and the most likely scoreline projected as 1-1. With both teams finding the net in 45% of simulations and under 2.5 goals favored, this match could hinge on tight margins; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Alaves 0–1 Sociedad
Jan 2024 Sociedad 1–1 Alaves