Villarreal vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Mon 1 Apr, 21:00
Villarreal
12 Full time
Ath Madrid
Villarreal 1–2 Ath Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 26%
Away 45%

💡 Ath Madrid have a slight edge — leaning Ath Madrid, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1560 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index DWWWW v WDWLL Villarreal 2.6 · Ath Madrid 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1512).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealDWWWW2.6 ppg
Ath MadridWDWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1512
Ath Madrid1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 25% · 45%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning19% · 27% · 54%

AI match preview

Villarreal host Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance of victory, slightly edging out a home win at 29% and a draw at 26%. The model predicts a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.47 for Villarreal and 1.84 for Ath Madrid, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the away win being the top pick. With a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open and entertaining encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.84

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Villarreal 1–2 Ath Madrid
Nov 2023 Ath Madrid 3–1 Villarreal