Ath Madrid vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 13 Apr, 14:00
Ath Madrid
31 Full time
Girona
Ath Madrid 3–1 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 28%
Away 26%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1571 v 1611 Girona rated higher
Form Index DWLLW v WLWLW Ath Madrid 1.4 · Girona 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Madrid v Girona

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1571 vs 1611).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridDWLLW1.4 ppg
GironaWLWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1571
Girona1611
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 24% · 27%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning34% · 45% · 21%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid host Girona in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a 46% chance of victory, narrowly ahead of a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%. The model predicts a close encounter with expected goals of 1.98 for Atletico and 1.44 for Girona, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite a slight edge to the hosts. With a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.44

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Ath Madrid 3–1 Girona
Jan 2024 Girona 4–3 Ath Madrid