Las Palmas vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 14 Apr, 14:00
Las Palmas
02 Full time
Sevilla
Las Palmas 0–2 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 30%
Away 29%

💡 Las Palmas have a slight edge — leaning Las Palmas, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1464 Las Palmas rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v LWDLW Las Palmas 0.4 · Sevilla 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Las Palmas v Sevilla

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1476 vs 1464).
  • Sevilla is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Las Palmas
Form Index
Sevilla
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasDDLLL0.4 ppg
SevillaLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1476
Sevilla1464
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 34% · 26%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning51% · 38% · 11%

AI match preview

Las Palmas hold a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory against Sevilla in this La Liga clash, as their model projects 1.15 expected goals to Sevilla's 0.86. Despite this, a goalless draw remains the most likely scoreline, reflecting the tight nature of the encounter. With only a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% chance both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a cautious match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 0.86

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Las Palmas 0–2 Sevilla
Sept 2023 Sevilla 1–0 Las Palmas