Granada vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 14 Apr, 16:15
Granada
20 Full time
Alaves
Granada 2–0 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 32%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1334 v 1446 Alaves rated higher
Form Index LLLLL v DLWLL Granada 0.0 · Alaves 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Granada v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Alaves is the stronger side on Power Rating (1446 vs 1334).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Granada
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Granada

Green = favours Granada · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GranadaLLLLL0.0 ppg
AlavesDLWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Granada1334
Alaves1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 32% · 35%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning11% · 44% · 45%

AI match preview

Granada and Alaves face off in a tightly poised La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 37%, though a draw holds a close 32% probability. Both sides are expected to produce a low-scoring encounter, with an anticipated scoreline of 1-1 and total goals just over one per team. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams likely to find the net, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Granada 2–0 Alaves
Nov 2023 Alaves 3–1 Granada