Sociedad vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 14 Apr, 21:00
Sociedad
22 Full time
Almeria
Sociedad 2–2 Almeria

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (75%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 75%
Draw 15%
Away 10%

💡 Sociedad are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 91.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 91.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1545 v 1351 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1545 vs 1351).
  • Sociedad is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadLLWWW1.8 ppg
AlmeriaDLDWL1 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1545
Almeria1351
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 23% · 14%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning95% · 5% · 1%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad enters this La Liga clash as strong favorites with a 75% chance to secure a home win, backed by a high confidence rating of 91/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.08 for Sociedad against 0.92 for Almeria, suggesting a probable 2-0 victory. While over 2.5 goals and both teams to score outcomes hover around the mid-50s percentages, these projections remain statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.92

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Sociedad 2–2 Almeria
Nov 2023 Almeria 1–3 Sociedad