Osasuna vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Mon 15 Apr, 21:00
Osasuna
01 Full time
Valencia
Osasuna 0–1 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 32%
Away 31%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1481 v 1517 Valencia rated higher
Form Index DWLLW v DWLDW Osasuna 1.4 · Valencia 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1481 vs 1517).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Valencia
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDWLLW1.4 ppg
ValenciaDWLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1481
Valencia1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 30% · 33%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning29% · 41% · 31%

AI match preview

Osasuna and Valencia are poised for a tight La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38%, but a draw remains the most probable outcome at 32%. Both teams are expected to find the net, reflected in a 53% chance for BTTS and an anticipated 1-1 scoreline based on expected goals of 1.29 for Osasuna and 1.22 for Valencia. With under 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on a single moment, so keep in mind these are statistical probabilities and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Osasuna 0–1 Valencia
Aug 2023 Valencia 1–2 Osasuna