Celta vs Las Palmas Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 20 Apr, 14:00
Celta
41 Full time
Las Palmas
Celta 4–1 Las Palmas

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 27%
Away 26%

💡 Celta are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1443 v 1456 Las Palmas rated higher
Form Index WLWDL v DLLLL Celta 1.4 · Las Palmas 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1443 vs 1456).
  • Celta is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Las Palmas
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Las Palmas. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaWLWDL1.4 ppg
Las PalmasDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1443
Las Palmas1456
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 39% · 34%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning38% · 29% · 34%

AI match preview

Celta host Las Palmas in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Both teams are projected to score under one goal each, making a low-scoring affair likely, with 0-0 as the most probable result. With only a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 32%, expect a tight contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.74 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 32%

No 68%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Celta 4–1 Las Palmas
Oct 2023 Las Palmas 2–1 Celta