Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 20 Apr, 16:15
Vallecano
21 Full time
Osasuna
Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 30%
Away 30%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1469 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DLWDD v WLLWL Vallecano 1.2 · Osasuna 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1452 vs 1469).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDLWDD1.2 ppg
OsasunaWLLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1452
Osasuna1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 29% · 48%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning37% · 33% · 29%

AI match preview

Vallecano host Osasuna in a La Liga clash where the model gives the home side a slight edge with a 40% chance to win, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes at 30% each. Expected goals favor Osasuna marginally (1.54 to 1.03), suggesting a competitive match that could well end in a 1-1 stalemate. With just over half the simulations predicting both teams to score and under 50% for more than 2.5 goals, this encounter may be finely balanced—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna
Dec 2023 Osasuna 1–0 Vallecano