Almeria vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 21 Apr, 16:15
Almeria
12 Full time
Villarreal
Almeria 1–2 Villarreal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 25%
Away 52%

💡 Villarreal are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1358 v 1505 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1505 vs 1358).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLDWLD1 ppg
VillarrealWWWLD2 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1358
Villarreal1505
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 22% · 59%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning7% · 35% · 58%

AI match preview

Almeria host Villarreal in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a moderate confidence level of 59/100. The match is expected to be competitive, with an anticipated scoreline of 1-1 despite Villarreal's higher expected goals tally (2.25 vs. 1.26). There is also a strong likelihood of goals, as over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are projected at 68% and 65%, respectively. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 2.25

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Almeria 1–2 Villarreal
Sept 2023 Villarreal 2–1 Almeria