Alaves vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 21 Apr, 18:30
Alaves
20 Full time
Ath Madrid
Alaves 2–0 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 29%
Away 51%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1427 v 1586 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index LWLLL v WLLWW Alaves 0.6 · Ath Madrid 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Ath Madrid

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1427).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesLWLLL0.6 ppg
Ath MadridWLLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1427
Ath Madrid1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 30% · 46%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 52%
Machine-learning7% · 43% · 51%

AI match preview

Alaves host Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 51% probability of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The model predicts a closely contested match with an expected scoreline of 1-1, reflecting a tight battle despite Ath Madrid’s slight edge in expected goals (1.40 vs. 0.96). With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each hovering around the mid-40% range, this game could hinge on fine margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Alaves 2–0 Ath Madrid
Oct 2023 Ath Madrid 2–1 Alaves