Alaves vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 27 Apr, 18:30
Alaves
30 Full time
Celta
Alaves 3–0 Celta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 30%
Away 31%

💡 Alaves have a slight edge — leaning Alaves, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1448 v 1459 Celta rated higher
Form Index WLLLW v LWDLW Alaves 1.2 · Celta 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Celta

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1448 vs 1459).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesWLLLW1.2 ppg
CeltaLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1448
Celta1459
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 29% · 34%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning43% · 37% · 20%

AI match preview

Alaves host Celta in a closely matched La Liga fixture where the model slightly favors a home win at 39%, though a draw (30%) and away victory (31%) remain strong possibilities. Both teams are projected to score similarly, with expected goals at 1.36 for Alaves and 1.30 for Celta, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Alaves 3–0 Celta
Sept 2023 Celta 1–1 Alaves