Ath Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 27 Apr, 21:00
Ath Madrid
31 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Ath Madrid 3–1 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 30%
Away 24%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1587 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LLWWL v WWLDD Ath Madrid 1.2 · Ath Bilbao 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1566 vs 1587).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridLLWWL1.2 ppg
Ath BilbaoWWLDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1566
Ath Bilbao1587
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 29% · 21%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning39% · 43% · 18%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid host Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a 46% chance of victory, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 30%. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected 1.52 goals for Atletico and 0.91 for Bilbao, most likely ending 1-1. With under 45% probability for over 2.5 goals and BTTS near even at 48%, this game could be tight and low-scoring; remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Ath Madrid 3–1 Ath Bilbao
Dec 2023 Ath Bilbao 2–0 Ath Madrid