Getafe vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Fri 3 May, 21:00
Getafe
02 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Getafe 0–2 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 32%
Away 41%

💡 Ath Bilbao have a slight edge — leaning Ath Bilbao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1573 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index WLDDW v WLDDL Getafe 1.6 · Ath Bilbao 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Getafe v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1573 vs 1491).
  • Getafe is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Getafe
Goal expectation
Getafe
Home advantage
Getafe

Green = favours Getafe · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GetafeWLDDW1.6 ppg
Ath BilbaoWLDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Getafe1491
Ath Bilbao1573
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 37% · 28%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning19% · 37% · 44%

AI match preview

Getafe host Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, while a draw is marginally more likely than a home win. Despite Athletic Bilbao’s higher win probability, the model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 0.94 for Getafe and 0.82 for the visitors, making a 0-0 draw the most probable scoreline. Low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (26%) and both teams scoring (36%) suggest a cautious, defensive encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 0.82

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Getafe 0–2 Ath Bilbao
Sept 2023 Ath Bilbao 2–2 Getafe