Alaves vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Fri 10 May, 21:00
Alaves
22 Full time
Girona
Alaves 2–2 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 28%
Away 45%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1479 v 1630 Girona rated higher
Form Index LLWWW v WLWWW Alaves 1.8 · Girona 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1630 vs 1479).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesLLWWW1.8 ppg
GironaWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1479
Girona1630
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning8% · 42% · 50%

AI match preview

Alaves host Girona in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win with a 45% probability, though a draw holds a close 28% chance. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a modest 52% probability for both teams to score. With over 2.5 goals projected at 46%, this matchup could hinge on key moments—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Alaves 2–2 Girona
Dec 2023 Girona 3–0 Alaves