Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 11 May, 21:00
Ath Bilbao
22 Full time
Osasuna
Ath Bilbao 2–2 Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 18%
Away 11%

💡 Ath Bilbao are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1588 v 1423 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LDDLW v WLLLL Ath Bilbao 1.0 · Osasuna 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1588 vs 1423).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoLDDLW1.0 ppg
OsasunaWLLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1588
Osasuna1423
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 21% · 14%
Power Rating70% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning89% · 9% · 1%

AI match preview

Athletic Bilbao enters this La Liga clash against Osasuna as strong favorites, with a 71% chance of securing a home win and an expected 2.26 goals to Osasuna's 0.99. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline is most likely, reflecting Bilbao's solid attacking edge and defensive stability. With a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, this match promises competitive moments, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.26 – 0.99

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Ath Bilbao 2–2 Osasuna
Aug 2023 Osasuna 0–2 Ath Bilbao