Girona vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Tue 14 May, 22:00
Girona
01 Full time
Villarreal
Girona 0–1 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 18%
Away 18%

💡 Girona are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1627 v 1524 Girona rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v DWWLW Girona 2.0 · Villarreal 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1627 vs 1524).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLWWWD2.0 ppg
VillarrealDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1627
Villarreal1524
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 16% · 15%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning81% · 17% · 2%

AI match preview

Girona enters this La Liga clash with a strong 64% chance of securing a home win against Villarreal, backed by a confident 77/100 rating from the model. The expected goals suggest an attacking encounter, with Girona projected to net 3.10 goals to Villarreal’s 1.50, making a 3-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With an 84% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.10 – 1.50

Most likely score

3-1

7% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 84%

Under 16%

Both teams to score

Yes 75%

No 25%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Girona 0–1 Villarreal
Sept 2023 Villarreal 1–2 Girona