Celta vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Wed 15 May, 22:00
Celta
21 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Celta 2–1 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 30%
Away 38%

💡 Ath Bilbao have a slight edge — leaning Ath Bilbao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1449 v 1582 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v DDLWD Celta 1.2 · Ath Bilbao 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1582 vs 1449).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaLWLWL1.2 ppg
Ath BilbaoDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1449
Ath Bilbao1582
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 36% · 40%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning9% · 35% · 56%

AI match preview

Celta host Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, though a home victory or draw remain plausible with probabilities of 32% and 30% respectively. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 0.77 for Celta and 1.05 for Bilbao, and a 0-0 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. With low chances for over 2.5 goals (28%) and both teams scoring (37%), this match could hinge on a single moment; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.05

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Celta 2–1 Ath Bilbao
Nov 2023 Ath Bilbao 4–3 Celta