Almeria vs Barcelona Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Thu 16 May, 21:30
Almeria
02 Full time
Barcelona
Almeria 0–2 Barcelona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (73%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 11%
Draw 16%
Away 73%

💡 Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1348 v 1643 Barcelona rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1643 vs 1348).
  • Barcelona is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barcelona
Form Index
Barcelona
Goal expectation
Barcelona
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Barcelona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaDLLWL0.8 ppg
BarcelonaWLWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1348
Barcelona1643
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 15% · 76%
Power Rating19% · 12% · 70%
Machine-learning0% · 13% · 87%

AI match preview

Barcelona head to Almeria with a strong statistical edge, holding a 73% probability of an away win and a high confidence rating of 89/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 0.91 for Almeria and 2.83 for Barcelona, with a 0-2 scoreline being the most likely outcome. There is also a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability that both teams will score; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 2.83

Most likely score

0-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Almeria 0–2 Barcelona
Dec 2023 Barcelona 3–2 Almeria