Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Thu 16 May, 22:00
Sociedad
10 Full time
Valencia
Sociedad 1–0 Valencia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 24%
Away 16%

💡 Sociedad are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1531 v 1489 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index DDLWL v WLLLD Sociedad 1.0 · Valencia 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1531 vs 1489).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadDDLWL1.0 ppg
ValenciaWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1531
Valencia1489
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 28% · 22%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning61% · 28% · 10%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad enter this La Liga clash with a 60% chance of victory, holding a statistical edge over Valencia, who are projected at just 16%. The model suggests a tight contest with an expected scoreline around 1-1, reflecting a balanced offensive output despite the home advantage. With just under half the probability for over 2.5 goals and a slight edge for both teams to score, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these projections are based on data and to please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Sociedad 1–0 Valencia
Sept 2023 Valencia 0–1 Sociedad