Alaves vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 18 May, 21:00
Alaves
10 Full time
Getafe
Alaves 1–0 Getafe

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 27%
Away 24%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1448 Alaves rated higher
Form Index WWWDL v DWLLL Alaves 2.0 · Getafe 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Getafe

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1475 vs 1448).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Getafe. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesWWWDL2.0 ppg
GetafeDWLLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1475
Getafe1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 29% · 28%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning54% · 27% · 19%

AI match preview

Alaves have a slight edge over Getafe with a 49% chance of winning, according to the model, while a draw is projected at 27%. The expected goals suggest a close contest, with Alaves at 1.44 and Getafe at 1.13, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With both teams to score at 53% and under 2.5 goals favored at 53%, this game promises a tight, competitive encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Alaves 1–0 Getafe
Aug 2023 Getafe 1–0 Alaves