Valencia vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 19:00
Valencia
13 Full time
Girona
Valencia 1–3 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 31%
Away 43%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1481 v 1611 Girona rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v WWWDL Valencia 0.2 · Girona 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Girona

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1611 vs 1481).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLLLDL0.2 ppg
GironaWWWDL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1481
Girona1611
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 34% · 29%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning11% · 57% · 32%

AI match preview

Valencia hosts Girona in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 43%, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 31%. Despite Girona’s edge, the expected goals suggest a tight contest with a low-scoring outcome, most likely ending 0-0. With only a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this game could hinge on a single moment; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 0.93

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Valencia 1–3 Girona
Dec 2023 Girona 2–1 Valencia