Osasuna vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 25 May, 14:00
Osasuna
11 Full time
Villarreal
Osasuna 1–1 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 29%
Away 38%

💡 Villarreal have a slight edge — leaning Villarreal, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1544 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index LLDDW v WLWWD Osasuna 1.0 · Villarreal 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1544 vs 1459).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaLLDDW1.0 ppg
VillarrealWLWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1459
Villarreal1544
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 26% · 48%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning23% · 44% · 33%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Villarreal in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, though a draw remains a close 29% possibility. With expected goals at 1.25 for Osasuna and 1.76 for Villarreal, a 1-1 stalemate is the most probable scoreline, supported by a 60% chance of both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals is also moderately likely at 58%, making this an intriguing encounter with multiple potential outcomes—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Osasuna 1–1 Villarreal
Nov 2023 Villarreal 3–1 Osasuna