Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 25 May, 18:30
Vallecano
01 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Vallecano 0–1 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 30%
Away 45%

💡 Ath Bilbao have a slight edge — leaning Ath Bilbao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1436 v 1578 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LLDWL v LWDLW Vallecano 0.8 · Ath Bilbao 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1578 vs 1436).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLLDWL0.8 ppg
Ath BilbaoLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1436
Ath Bilbao1578
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 33% · 44%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning7% · 38% · 55%

AI match preview

Vallecano host Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the model gives the visitors a 45% chance to claim victory, slightly ahead of a 30% likelihood of a draw. Expected goals suggest a tight encounter with 0.80 for Vallecano and 1.20 for Athletic Bilbao, and the most probable scoreline is a goalless draw. With just a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, this match could lean towards a cautious, low-scoring affair—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 1.20

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Vallecano 0–1 Ath Bilbao
Dec 2023 Ath Bilbao 4–0 Vallecano