Las Palmas vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 26 May, 16:15
Las Palmas
11 Full time
Alaves
Las Palmas 1–1 Alaves

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 33%
Away 29%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (33%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1414 v 1484 Alaves rated higher
Form Index LLLDD v WWDLW Las Palmas 0.4 · Alaves 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Las Palmas v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Alaves is the stronger side on Power Rating (1484 vs 1414).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasLLLDD0.4 ppg
AlavesWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1414
Alaves1484
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 36% · 21%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning26% · 55% · 19%

AI match preview

Las Palmas and Alaves head into their La Liga clash with a tight statistical outlook, as the model gives the home side a 38% chance to win, a 33% probability for a draw, and a 29% chance for an away victory. Expected goals favor Las Palmas slightly at 1.09 to 0.68, but the most likely score remains a goalless draw, reflecting the low-scoring nature forecasted. With just a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance both teams score, this match could be a cautious affair; remember these projections are based on probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.09 – 0.68

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Las Palmas 1–1 Alaves
Dec 2023 Alaves 0–1 Las Palmas