Espanol vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 17 Jan, 20:00
Espanol
21 Full time
Valladolid
Espanol 2–1 Valladolid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 25%
Away 21%

💡 Espanol are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1423 v 1404 Espanol rated higher
Form Index LDDLD v LLWLW Espanol 0.6 · Valladolid 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1423 vs 1404).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Espanol
Form Index
Valladolid
Goal expectation
Espanol
Home advantage
Espanol

Green = favours Espanol · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanolLDDLD0.6 ppg
ValladolidLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Espanol1423
Valladolid1404
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 20% · 11%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning49% · 24% · 27%

AI match preview

Espanol is favored to claim victory against Valladolid with a 54% chance, supported by a solid 62.3% confidence rating. The model projects a 2-0 win for the home side, expecting 2.26 goals from Espanol compared to 0.81 from Valladolid. With a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance both teams score, this match promises some attacking action—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.26 – 0.81

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

EspanolValladolid
4.2 Corners 4.1
2.4 Cards 2.6
13.4 Fouls 12.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Espanol 2–1 Valladolid
Aug 2024 Valladolid 1–0 Espanol