Girona vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 18 Jan, 13:00
Girona
12 Full time
Sevilla
Girona 1–2 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 Girona are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1472 Girona rated higher
Form Index DLLWW v DLWLD Girona 1.4 · Sevilla 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1507 vs 1472).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDLLWW1.4 ppg
SevillaDLWLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1507
Sevilla1472
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 20% · 22%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning53% · 23% · 25%

AI match preview

Girona holds a 52% probability of securing a home win against Sevilla in this La Liga clash, with the model projecting a 2-1 scoreline and an expected goals tally favoring the hosts 2.50 to 1.55. The match is also likely to be open and attacking, as there's a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% probability that both teams will score. These projections are based on statistical models and should be considered as probabilities rather than certainties; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.55

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 77%

Under 23%

Both teams to score

Yes 73%

No 27%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

GironaSevilla
4.4 Corners 4.8
2.1 Cards 2.9
11.0 Fouls 13.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Girona 1–2 Sevilla
Sept 2024 Sevilla 0–2 Girona