Leganes vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 18 Jan, 15:15
Leganes
10 Full time
Ath Madrid
Leganes 1–0 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 16%
Draw 24%
Away 60%

💡 Ath Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1441 v 1623 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index DLWLD v WWWWW Leganes 1.0 · Ath Madrid 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1623 vs 1441).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Leganes

Green = favours Leganes · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeganesDLWLD1.0 ppg
Ath MadridWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leganes1441
Ath Madrid1623
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 22% · 69%
Power Rating28% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning17% · 34% · 50%

AI match preview

Leganes host Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a strong 60% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a confidence level of 70.1 out of 100. The expected goals suggest Ath Madrid could net nearly two goals while limiting Leganes to less than one, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. With under 50% odds for over 2.5 goals and only 40% chance both teams score, this matchup may see a controlled performance; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.60 – 1.97

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

LeganesAth Madrid
3.0 Corners 5.4
2.3 Cards 2.3
13.2 Fouls 11.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Leganes 1–0 Ath Madrid
Oct 2024 Ath Madrid 3–1 Leganes