Celta vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 13:00
Celta
12 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Celta 1–2 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 29%
Away 40%

💡 Ath Bilbao have a slight edge — leaning Ath Bilbao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1483 v 1581 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v WWWDW Celta 1.2 · Ath Bilbao 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1483).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaLWLWL1.2 ppg
Ath BilbaoWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1483
Ath Bilbao1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 30% · 30%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning25% · 31% · 44%

AI match preview

Celta host Athletic Bilbao in a closely contested La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 40%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. Expected goals suggest a tight game with 1.35 for Celta and 1.15 for Athletic, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 52% chance for both teams to score and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

CeltaAth Bilbao
4.2 Corners 5.5
2.0 Cards 2.1
12.0 Fouls 13.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Celta 1–2 Ath Bilbao
Sept 2024 Ath Bilbao 3–1 Celta