Real Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 15:15
Real Madrid
41 Full time
Las Palmas
Real Madrid 4–1 Las Palmas

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (76%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 76%
Draw 14%
Away 11%

💡 Real Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 92.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 92.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1630 v 1477 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v WWDWL Real Madrid 2.0 · Las Palmas 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Real Madrid v Las Palmas

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1630 vs 1477).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Real Madrid

Green = favours Real Madrid · Blue = favours Las Palmas. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Real MadridLWDWW2.0 ppg
Las PalmasWWDWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Real Madrid1630
Las Palmas1477
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model70% · 18% · 12%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning69% · 17% · 14%

AI match preview

Real Madrid enters this La Liga clash with a strong 76% probability of securing a home win against Las Palmas, backed by a high confidence level of 92.8/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.65 for Madrid and 1.09 for Las Palmas, suggesting a competitive encounter with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. With a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.09

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

Real MadridLas Palmas
6.1 Corners 4.2
1.8 Cards 2.6
9.5 Fouls 11.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Santiago Bernabeu Madrid, Spain Capacity 78,297 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Real Madrid 4–1 Las Palmas
Aug 2024 Las Palmas 1–1 Real Madrid