Osasuna vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 17:30
Osasuna
11 Full time
Vallecano
Osasuna 1–1 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 29%
Away 30%

💡 Osasuna have a slight edge — leaning Osasuna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1499 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DDDLL v WDDDW Osasuna 0.6 · Vallecano 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1491 vs 1499).
  • Vallecano is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDDDLL0.6 ppg
VallecanoWDDDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1491
Vallecano1499
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 33% · 31%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning38% · 29% · 34%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Vallecano in a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 29% and 30% respectively. Both teams are expected to score, reflected in a modest 45% chance for BTTS, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1 despite the home win pick. With just a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a tight, low-scoring encounter; all projections are based on statistical models and fans should gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.03

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

OsasunaVallecano
4.3 Corners 5.2
2.3 Cards 2.8
13.5 Fouls 14.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Osasuna 1–1 Vallecano
Sept 2024 Vallecano 3–1 Osasuna