Valencia vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 20:00
Valencia
10 Full time
Sociedad
Valencia 1–0 Sociedad

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 32%
Away 39%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1428 v 1524 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index LDDLD v WWDLW Valencia 0.6 · Sociedad 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1428).
  • Sociedad is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLDDLD0.6 ppg
SociedadWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1428
Sociedad1524
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 36% · 42%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning26% · 31% · 43%

AI match preview

Valencia and Sociedad are set for a tight La Liga clash where the model favors a narrow away edge at 39%, but the highest probability outcome is a draw at 32%, reflecting a closely contested game. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with Sociedad slightly ahead at 1.04 compared to Valencia's 0.68, and a 0-0 scoreline emerges as the most likely result. With only a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, this match may hinge on defensive solidity and midfield battles—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.68 – 1.04

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

ValenciaSociedad
4.4 Corners 5.5
2.0 Cards 2.5
12.1 Fouls 14.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Valencia 1–0 Sociedad
Sept 2024 Sociedad 3–0 Valencia