Villarreal vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Mon 20 Jan, 20:00
Villarreal
40 Full time
Mallorca
Villarreal 4–0 Mallorca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Villarreal are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1503 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index LLDWL v WLLWW Villarreal 0.8 · Mallorca 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Mallorca

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1521 vs 1503).
  • Mallorca is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Mallorca
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealLLDWL0.8 ppg
MallorcaWLLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1521
Mallorca1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 26% · 40%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning42% · 28% · 30%

AI match preview

Villarreal has a 50% chance to secure a home win against Mallorca, with the model showing moderate confidence at 56.3 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a tight match, leaning slightly towards Villarreal scoring 1.53 goals and Mallorca 1.68, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, this game could offer lively attacking moments, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.68

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

VillarrealMallorca
4.5 Corners 4.0
2.6 Cards 2.4
12.1 Fouls 13.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Villarreal 4–0 Mallorca
Sept 2024 Mallorca 1–2 Villarreal