Las Palmas vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Fri 24 Jan, 20:00
Las Palmas
11 Full time
Osasuna
Las Palmas 1–1 Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Las Palmas have a slight edge — leaning Las Palmas, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1489 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index WDWLL v DDLLD Las Palmas 1.4 · Osasuna 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1489).
  • Las Palmas is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Las Palmas
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasWDWLL1.4 ppg
OsasunaDDLLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1469
Osasuna1489
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 31% · 20%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning47% · 24% · 28%

AI match preview

Las Palmas host Osasuna in a closely matched La Liga clash, with the model giving the home side a 43% chance to win versus 30% for the visitors and a 28% probability of a draw. Expected goals favor Las Palmas at 1.40 to 0.81, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate, reflecting a competitive encounter. With only a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, this game could hinge on tight margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.81

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

Las PalmasOsasuna
4.2 Corners 4.3
2.6 Cards 2.3
11.3 Fouls 13.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Las Palmas 1–1 Osasuna
Sept 2024 Osasuna 2–1 Las Palmas