Valladolid vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 25 Jan, 20:00
Valladolid
03 Full time
Real Madrid
Valladolid 0–3 Real Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (70%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 18%
Away 70%

💡 Real Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 84.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1396 v 1638 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v WDWWW Valladolid 1.2 · Real Madrid 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1638 vs 1396).
  • Real Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Valladolid

Green = favours Valladolid · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValladolidLWLWL1.2 ppg
Real MadridWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Valladolid1396
Real Madrid1638
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model12% · 25% · 63%
Power Rating23% · 12% · 65%
Machine-learning12% · 31% · 57%

AI match preview

Real Madrid heads to Valladolid as strong favorites with a 70% chance of victory, backed by a high confidence score of 84.1/100 from the model. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Real Madrid likely edging the game 1-0, while a draw or home win remain less probable. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring being the more likely scenarios, fans should note these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.66 – 1.80

Most likely score

0-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

ValladolidReal Madrid
4.1 Corners 6.1
2.6 Cards 1.8
12.1 Fouls 9.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Valladolid 0–3 Real Madrid
Aug 2024 Real Madrid 3–0 Valladolid